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APR WEATHER IMPACT, NO FAVORS FROM MOTHER NATURE NATIONALLY

May 6, 2025

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Golf Weather Impact: Big May Decline Takes Us Back to…Even for the Year

Mother Nature giveth and she taketh away, with May being the latter as Golf Playable Hours (GPH) were down 6% vs. Year-Ago (YA).  This erased the entire Year-to-Date (YtD) favorable cushion, putting us back to +0.2% through 5 months.  The YtD regional breadth metric similarly “reset” to just above neutral (from 3:1 positive) at a 1:1 ratio comprised of 21 favorable regions vs. 16 unfavorables and 8 in the neutral zone (+/- 2%) with all 45 weather-based regions now in-season.  Subscribers to either the Pellucid Publications Membership or the Geographic Weather Impact report get the 45 regional breakdowns, the 61 markets figures, the day-of-week weather impact and the Year-End National GPH forecast figure as well as our full commentary on the results every month.

National Played Rounds for April as published by Golf Datatech followed the weather at +1% at the All Facilities level.  The intersection of the 1% played rounds gain and our previously-reported 1% increase in capacity rounds for the month created no change in Utilization which mirrors the YtD Utilization results which are -1 pt.

A broader description of the May weather and April Utilization can be found at our website in the Featured Items section or you can get the full picture by subscribing to either the Pellucid Publications Membership or the Geographic Weather Impact report.  Both provide the 45 regional breakdowns, the 61 markets figures, the day-of-week weather impact and the Year-End National GPH forecast figure as well as our full commentary on the results every month.

Another avenue for seeing your weather-adjusted performance is our recently launched facility comparative performance and local market benchmarking tool, the Golf Market Research Center (GMRC).  In light of recent, broad-based rounds and revenue gains, the $500 annual investment is more affordable than ever.  Program participants have been able to view graphic, single page monthly trend reports for Rounds and Utilization from ’19-’23 as well as having a 7 measure KPI single page report for any month and YtD period for which they entered data.  The GMRC gives you visibility to your Market Profile and, after you enter your Rounds, Golf Revenue and Peak Season GF Rate by month, to immediately see your results through our comparative reports with integrated weather impact.  So how do you “get in on the action”?  Glad you asked…

  • You can email jim@pellucidcorp.com, to subscribe (see below for benefits) and get started by inputting your information through the current month or if you’d like to engage in the 2-wk trial
  • If you’d like more information you have two options:
    • Watch the 18 minute GoToWebinar recording of the program overview and a demonstration of the portal and reports (fill in your name and email and it will open the video link; you’re not signing up for anything)
    • Review the 2-pg program overview
    • Read the recent Outside the Ropes that illustrates, using the GMRC portfolio’s May results, the insights available using real data

Here’s the details on what you get in the current Promo:

  • GMRC Market profile (golfers, supply/mix/demand balance, Utilization etc.)
  • Monthly trends report (Rounds & Utilization, any month and YtD ’19-’23)
  • KPI Scorecard (7 KPIs for month & YtD, single page, Year Ago comparisons)
  • Cognilogic (historical facility-specific Golf Playable Hours and Capacity Rounds, normally sold as a separate service at $180/yr) and
  • Foresight (brand new, facility-level 60-day Capacity Rounds forecast and key weather variables used to produce it, normally sold separately at $360/yr)
  • National Golf Consumer Franchise Scorecard (updated with the ’22 survey results) and commentary outlining the change in the size of the golfer base, the demographics (not as much additional diversity as advertised by the industry but expanding) and involvement levels (sold separately for $199)
  • We think this package of services, including GMRC at $500/yr ($450 for NGCOA members) is a great value and timely for assessing ’23’s performance and beginning your ’24 planning

Final cherry-on-top, GMRC is a product in the NGCOA SmartBuy program, so there’s a member benefit (10% discount) for the annual subscription.

 

 

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